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Best of Mark Pilarski
It could happen to you — and then again, probably not14 January 2003
You always recommend making wagers that have less than a 2% house advantage. Okay, sound logic, but why is it that a gambler can still win, even on games like keno or those big slot jackpots when the Law of Averages says they won't? William R.
Because, William, the Law of Averages does not have time to work during most brief casino visit. That said, you should never put your faith in the heady belief that happy aberrations in gambling odds will happen in games that carry a huge house advantage. The keen player never ignores the mathematical odds that are working for or against him. But every gambler's timeline (tabletime) is still relatively short, be it three hours or three days, so anything can happen- even for the 8-spot keno winner, or the serendipitous winner of the super slot-pot. Those fortuitous winners don't go home because the Law of Averages worked in their favor, most likely it was because the Law of Averages didn't.
Your Mr. Smart (clearly a loyal column reader) is correct, Molly, as the
bank hand has no bearing on whether or not the player hand draws a card.
Though most players vary their betting between the bank hand and player hand, I see no problem with sticking to just one wager. KISS, Keep It Simple Stupid, is just fine and dandy, especially if you are one of those players who don't believe in streaks, that each dealt hand is an independent event, separate from each preceding hand.
But just so you know, Molly, by learning the more complex rules on when
you have to take a hit on the bank hand does reduce the house edge down
to 1.17%, slipping neatly under the already picayune 1.36% edge the
casino has over the player hand.
A small pair, Leslie, (2s-10s) is always a keeper over a single face card.
Gambling quote of the week: "Anyone who tells you that they're
a professional craps shooter, professional baccarat player or
professional slot junkie is either a liar or a cheat that the casino
hasn't caught yet." —Lou Krieger & Arthur Reber
Best of Mark Pilarski